Sunday, May 4, 2014

2014 NFL Draft - Top 5 Quarterbacks

The quarterback class for the 2014 NFL Draft is not loaded with perennial Pro Bowlers like we have seen in previous draft classes, most recently in 2012 with Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III. Analysts, scouts, and fans are divided when it comes to ranking the top quarterbacks, and it will be interesting to see which quarterback is the first to come off the board on Draft Day. With that said, the quarterback position is the most important position in football. A good quarterback can take a team from a 5-11 record to an 8-8 record, and an elite quarterback can take a team from 5-11 to 10-6. Conversely, teams that lack a quality, consistent quarterback often struggle to make the playoffs or even finish above .500 in terms of wins and losses.

The top quarterbacks in the 2014 NFL Draft (rankings are subject to change prior to draft):

Sure, this is David Carr’s brother, and with that label comes mild anxiety about Derek Carr’s potential in the NFL. But, let’s remember: this is Derek Carr, not David Carr (#1 overall pick in 2002 NFL Draft). The lessons and challenges that David Carr experienced during his NFL career have been discussed at length with Derek Carr, who will undoubtedly benefit from the retrospective lens of his older brother. Derek was a 3-year starter at Fresno State, finishing 8th in the Heisman voting in 2013 and winning the Mountain West Player of the Year Award twice (2012, 2013). Carr torched defenses for 4,104 yards as a junior and followed up that impressive season by throwing for over 5,000 yards as a senior, along with 50 TD’s against only 8 interceptions. Carr has a quick release, a great feel for the game, leadership ability, and a gaudy 113-24 TD-to-interception ratio as a college quarterback. Carr is unlikely to hear his name called in the top 10 of the Draft, or maybe even the 1st Round, but I would not be surprised if we look back on this draft class in 4-5 years and collectively agree that Carr is the best 2014 draft class quarterback in the NFL at that point. Big Board Ranking: #29

Think about a young, unpolished Ben Roethlisberger (with a little bit more mobility). That’s Blake Bortles. The “unpolished” part of that description is the most important and will carry the most weight in determining if Bortles can become Roethlisberger-esque. Bortles comes into the 2014 NFL Draft with a lot of momentum from an impressive junior season at UCF where he led the Knights to a Fiesta Bowl victory over Baylor and passed for 3,581 yards for the season. Bortles is a solid quarterback prospect. He works hard, loves to learn about the game, makes plays when the pocket breaks down, and has a strong arm. He also tends to make unwise decisions when he senses pressure, particularly when he scrambles to the left side of the field. The Jaguars will give Bortles a long look at pick #3, which is where I have him projected in my 2014 NFL MockDraft, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see him fall all the way out of the top 10 to Tennessee at #11. Big Board Ranking: #31

Amazing. Incredible. Unbelievable. Countless fans have shouted these words when watching Manziel’s display of elite athleticism and pressured decision-making at Texas A&M. Manziel is a great competitor. He wants to win and he will put in the work to make sure he’s prepared to lead his team to victory. His confident personality can rub off on others as cockiness, but, by and large, he uses his confidence as positive motivation. If Manziel were 20 lbs. heavier and still maintained his mobility, he would be my #1 quarterback prospect in this draft. I do not question his skillset or his ability to “learn the ropes” as an NFL quarterback, but I do question his durability. He’s listed at 207 lbs., which seems a bit high. He and most cornerbacks share the same body build: lean and thin. Manziel will make plays in the NFL, and he’ll bring a lot of fans to the stadium on Sundays, but he will have to avoid the Michael Vick Syndrome (i.e. injured half of the season…just about every season) if he wants to be a Pro Bowl-type quarterback. Draft Board Ranking: #32

Bridgewater is an interesting prospect. Had he been able to enter the 2013 NFL Draft, he would have been picked in the top 10, possibly even the top 5. He completed his junior year at Louisville, passing for 3,970 yards, 31 TD’s and completing 71.0 percent of his passes. That’s an excellent season! Granted, his stats were semi-inflated by the relatively weaker competition that Louisville faced on a week-to-week basis, but Bridgewater had a great season, let’s admit it. Blessed with great toughness, an excellent understanding of the game, and the ability to read coverages, Bridgewater should be expected to get a few seasons as a starter in the NFL. His slender build and his somewhat relaxed personality may cause some NFL GM’s to shy away from selecting him early in the 1st Round. Bridgewater is also inconsistent when throwing the long ball (15+ yards), and that inconsistency could keep him from being selected in the 1st Round as well. Wherever he ends up, Bridgewater will contend for the starting quarterback position early on. Draft Board Rating: #39

Who? Exactly. Garoppolo torched the FCS ranks last season, throwing for 53 TD’s and over 5,050 yards en route to a great senior season. Garoppolo threw for over 400 yards in five games last season and finished with 399 yards in one game. Garoppolo possesses a quick release, a sharp mind, and a lot of motivation stemming from being looked over by nearly every FBS program in the country. Watch for Garoppolo to come off the board in the 2nd Round and to contend for a starting quarterback job in the near future. Draft Board Ranking: #55